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10-year auction draws strong demand, sending yields lower
[Wooden cube with treasury text.close up of wooden elements,Business Concept.3D rendering on red background.] bo feng/iStock via Getty Images The Treasury’s latest 10-year note sale drew solid end-investor interest, easing pressure across…
Tariffs leave U.S. consumer prices higher even as inflation impact fades
[Inflation] G0d4ather/iStock via Getty Images New York Fed economists Mary Amiti, Sebastian Heise and David E. Weinstein estimate that every 1 percentage-point increase in average U.S. tariffs raises consumer goods prices by about 0.25% af…
Bond funds pull in historic cash as yields keep climbing
[Bonds Trading and Financial Analytics] AlexSecret Investors are directing capital into fixed-income funds at a pace that stands out even against recent history, even as Treasury yields continue to climb and keep the bond market in focus.…
Treasury yields reverse higher after an earlier retreat against payrolls data
[Rising bond market yield.] Torsten Asmus U.S. Treasury yields reversed course and pushed higher after slipping across the curve Friday morning after a softer-than-expected September jobs report reinforced the view that hiring is cooling f…
BofA’s Hartnett calls on investors to ‘buy humiliation’ in bond rout
[Treasury bonds is shown on the conceptual business photo] Andrii Dodonov/iStock via Getty Images Bank of America's Michael Hartnett is recommending investors to "buy humiliation" and start adding bonds to their portfolios as long-run U.S.…
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.31%, a 24-year high
[Close up of wooden blocks spelling the word BONDS resting on a pile of scattered US dollar bills. Financial investment, government treasury, fixed income, and wealth management concept.] Pakorn Supajitsoontorn The U.S. 10-year Treasury yi…
Fed rate-hike odds slide after softer PCE inflation print
[FOMC Meeting Minutes word over Candlestick chart Forex background. Close up.] Caner CIFTCI Market-implied chances of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase at the October 28–29 FOMC meeting fell sharply to 34.9% after Wednesday’s person…
Biggest risk is of an inflationary mindset setting in, says Cleveland Fed's Hammack
[Aerial of Downtown Cleveland, Ohio at Sunrise from behind Hope Memorial Bridge] halbergman/iStock via Getty Images The biggest risk is of an inflationary mindset setting in, according to Beth Hammack, CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cl…
Fed rate hike odds: FedWatch vs. prediction markets
[Rising Interest Rates] DNY59/iStock via Getty Images Markets are pricing in another interest rate hike in the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next month as inflation remains stubbornly high and the labor market is stable. Last week, the…
Surging bond yields mark end of decade-long TINA era
[Treasury bonds is shown on the conceptual business photo] Andrii Dodonov/iStock via Getty Images The era of "there is no alternative," or TINA, to stocks is seemingly dead as global bond yields surge back to historical norms. According to…
Fed October hike odds top 70% as inflation fears build, yields surge
[The Federal Reserve] Douglas Rissing Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October surged past 70% Wednesday on the back of hawkish central bank commentary and a fresh wave of inflationary pressures that pushed Treasury yields t…
10-year U.S. Treasury yield tops 5.1%, marking its highest level since 2007
[Abstract Financial Data Visualization with Digital Stock Market Graphs] AlexSecret U.S. Treasury yields surged Wednesday as investors sold bonds across the curve. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y [https://seekingalpha.com/…
SA Asks: What was the main takeaway from the FOMC's rate decision?
[Wooden cubes with FED and up-down arrows over 100 usd. Fed rate hike concept to curb inflation] yalcinsonat1 What was the main takeaway from the Federal Open Market Committee's decision on Wednesday to raise its benchmark interest rate by…
Yields split after the Fed lifts rates to 4% with the shorter end of the curve rising
[Treasury. The word Treasury in the background of the US dollar. Wealth Protection and Management Concept in High-Security Banking] Yauhen Akulich U.S. Treasury yields moved in opposite directions on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve rai…
The Boring Investment That's Suddenly Interesting Again
shironosov · iStock.com Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities or TIPS, often fly under the radar of investors, some of which consider them "boring." But for the 12 months ending July 2026, prices rose 3.4%, according to the Bureau of Lab…
Citi: Fed to hike this week — calls it a ‘calibration,’ not a new cycle
[Federal Reserve System (FED) Symbol Abstract Digital Data Landscape Multi Colored] spawns Nearly two years after the Federal Reserve delivered the first rate cut of the last easing cycle, Citi economists now expect U.S. policymakers to ra…
Global yield spike reflects energy shocks, not policy failure - TS Lombard
[Percentage Sign On Top Of Coin Stacks Before Blue Financial Graph] MicroStockHub Dario Perkins of TS Lombard is pushing back against media narratives framing the global bond selloff as a crisis of credibility for Treasury Secretary Scott…
'We can easily handle that,' Trump says amid concerns over $5K midterm payouts
[U.S. President Donald Trump Visits Ireland - Day Two Doonbeg] Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images News President Donald Trump rejected concerns over his plan to pay $5,000 dividend checks to Americans, affirming that "we can easily handle that b…
SA Asks: How divided will the FOMC vote be next week on raising rates?
[FED federal reserve of USA sybol and sign.] Bet_Noire The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee is slated to vote this coming Wednesday on whether to raise, maintain, or lower interest rates. We asked Seeking Alpha analysts Leo…
UBS: Two Fed hikes are coming — Bonds still belong
[Bonds Trading and Financial Analytics] AlexSecret UBS expects the Federal Reserve to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points on September 16 and to deliver another quarter-point increase in December. That trajectory would shrink the curr…
Treasury yields ease as markets digest August CPI data
[CPI symbol, Consumer Price Index. A measure of inflation or deflation, the change in prices of consumer goods and services. A statistical shopping basket. Market analysis in the US] Andrzej Rostek/iStock via Getty Images U.S. Treasury yie…
September Fed hike odds jump after the latest PPI inflation print
[Wooden cubes with FED and up-down arrows over 100 usd. Fed rate hike concept to curb inflation] yalcinsonat1 The probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase next week has risen sharply after the latest producer price index came in firm…
10-year Treasury auction brings afternoon relief to bond market
[Treasury bonds is shown on the conceptual business photo] Andrii Dodonov/iStock via Getty Images A robust auction of 10-year U.S. Treasury notes (US10Y [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US10Y]) on Wednesday offered a welcome dose of aftern…
U.S. Treasury is set to triple long-bond buybacks to $6B, and yields are still climbing
[Bonds. The word Bonds in the background of the US dollar. Fixed Income Investment, Government Bonds, and Financial Security Concept.] Yauhen Akulich U.S. Treasury yields climbed Wednesday after the Treasury Department said it will repurch…
Bessent warns traders against yen bets: ‘I am the house now’: report
[Dollar and yen signs with charts. Currency exchange rate in financial market.] tadamichi Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has reportedly challenged traders to counter his efforts to strengthen Japan’s currency, touting that when he makes…
Apollo turns hawkish ahead of CPI report as jobs and ISM data point to a September hike
[Inflation] meshaphoto/iStock via Getty Images Apollo Global Management chief economist Torsten Slok now expects the Federal Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its mid-September meeting, citing mounting evidence that price pr…
SA Asks: How concerned should investors be about surging global bond yields?
[Interest rates, coupon and yields.] Torsten Asmus How concerned should investors be about the surge in global government bond yields? Seeking Alpha analysts Eugenio Catone [https://seekingalpha.com/author/eugenio-catone] and Passage Resea…
Japan may have sold U.S. Treasuries to fund yen intervention
[Dollar Yen] Nelson_A_Ishikawa Japan likely sold a portion of its U.S. Treasury holdings to finance its currency intervention over the past month, as its foreign reserves posted their largest decline in August. Tokyo's reserve assets total…
[Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Holds Press Conference On Interest Rates] Win McNamee/Getty Images News With Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s highly anticipated debut speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Friday, Wall Street is…
Apollo: Rates stay higher for longer after Druckenmiller's fiscal warning
Apollo’s chief economist Torsten Slok said U.S. rates will stay higher for longer after Stanley Druckenmiller argued in The Wall Street Journal that the Treasury should stop using buybacks to suppress long-end yields and instead address th…
Rising real yields give S&P 500 a reality check
[Trading charts background] da-kuk/E+ via Getty Images The real, or inflation-adjusted, yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note (US10Y [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US10Y]) has been mired in a persistent surge that threatens to weigh he…
SA Asks: Will Bessent's recent moves to curb bond yields boost the stock market?
[Interest rates, coupon and yields.] Torsten Asmus Last week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the government plans to increase its buyback of longer-dated securities to at least $4B amid rising yields. But will Bessent's re…
SA Asks: What does the growing national debt mean for bond yields?
[Interest rates, coupon and yields.] Torsten Asmus What does the growing national debt mean for government bond yields? Seeking Alpha analysts Jack Bowman [https://seekingalpha.com/author/jack-bowman] and Marc Chandler [https://seekingalph…
If Treasuries were a 'safe haven' at $30T, what are they at $40T?
[Treasury bonds is shown on the conceptual business photo] Andrii Dodonov/iStock via Getty Images Market strategists are raising pointed concerns about the traditional safe-haven status of U.S. Treasuries (IEF [https://seekingalpha.com/sym…
Trump policy credibility fading after going 0-for-3 on economic goals - BofA
[First Lady Melania Trump Announces Expansion Of Her Foster Care Initiative] Finn Gomez/Getty Images News Bank of America Global Research recently highlighted a growing credibility issue for the Trump administration, as the government is "…
[Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Speaks To Reporters Outside The White House] Andrew Harnik/Getty Images News The U.S. Treasury Department said Wednesday it will double [https://seekingalpha.com/news/4634905-u-s-treasury-expands-long-end-…