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Quick Read TBT delivered 16% over one year yet earned holders just 0.08% the week of the September Fed hike due to daily reset drag. TBF offers unleveraged inverse Treasury exposure, while underweighting TLT reduces duration with no compou…
Quick Read On Fed hike day, $7B poured into TLT, a fund down 35% over five years that Balchunas calls "jackpot mode" when rates finally fall. TLT's 16-to-17-year duration means a 50-basis-point yield drop delivers a high-single-digit NAV g…
[Department of Treasury] The U.S. Treasury’s expanded debt-buyback program may be encountering limits just as policymakers debate Federal Reserve interest-rate policy, persistent inflation and the government’s growing financing needs. Trea…
[Norway 2026. Financial and business concept for the new year. Calculator with the date 2026 and the Norwegian symbol and shape of the country. Market analysis. Norwegian krone exchange rate.] Andrzej Rostek/iStock via Getty Images Norway’…
[Midterm Election 2026 in United States] gguy44 The U.S. midterm elections are unlikely to amount to a true “regime change” for markets, but BofA strategist Michael Hartnett says the outcome could still produce sharply different reactions…
Candle stick graph chart with indicator by Vintage Tone via Shutterstock It has been a stock-versus-stock world for a long time. Investors and traders have obsessed over which sectors, geographic regions, themes, or fads to invest their ha…
[President Trump Attends Swearing In Ceremony For New Chairman Of The Federal Reserve] Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has signaled that persistent inflation could require an interest-rate increase, potentially putting him on a collision…
[Wooden cubes with FED and up-down arrows over 100 usd. Fed rate hike concept to curb inflation] yalcinsonat1 What was the biggest takeaway from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on…
[Bond yield with dollar banknotes. Business and financial management.] cagkansayin Stocks have outperformed bonds for four-straight years, but Société Générale says another roughly 50-60 basis-point rise in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield…
[First Lady Melania Trump Announces Expansion Of Her Foster Care Initiative] Finn Gomez/Getty Images News It's been quite a few days for the U.S. bond market, with investors still sizing up the latest fallout and where things may go from h…
Wooden blocks with the word BONDS spelled out on top of money by Worawith via Adobe Stock I'm a chartist, but right now, my favorite chart is a table outlining current bond yields. Simply put, this tells me everything I want to know about…
[CPI Consumer price index is shown as financial concept with Shopping cart] Andrii Dodonov The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index for June on Tuesday, with retail inflation expected to have slowed from the pri…
[entrance to Madison Square Garden arena in New York City] peterspiro/iStock Editorial via Getty Images A New York Knicks championship parade a day after Fed day adds to the vibes of a market top, according to BofA strategist Michael Hartn…
[Retro style concrete wall engraved with the word FEDERAL RESERVE. Illustration of the concept of the issues and affairs related to federal reserve.] Traders are now pricing in a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026 following F…
Investing.com -- Gold accounted for 27% of foreign reserves held by central banks worldwide at the end of 2025, according to the European Central Bank. This marks an increase from 20% a year earlier. The precious metal's share exceeded tha…
[Love old senior couple looking at growth stack coins graph chart with red ladder.] Pla2na Federal Reserve officials may be underestimating the significance of a recent surge in U.S. money supply and bank lending, according to Société Géné…
[Portrait of Professional Traders Working on a Stock Exchange. Enthusiastic Men and Women Shouting, Signaling Orders for Company Shares and Commodities to Brokers at an Open Outcry Arbitrage] gorodenkoff Money managers are piling into stoc…
[Treasury bonds concept. American flag, dollars and plate.] designer491 Bonds are beginning to attract more attention from traders as positioning in equities becomes increasingly crowded, according to Citadel Securities strategist Scott Ru…
[Man Trying To Support A Bear Market In Bond Prices] DNY59/iStock via Getty Images An intensifying bond rout is taking place across the globe, and while some of the selling has been for local reasons, like the political turmoil in the U.K.…
[Close-up bond market trading screen with rising yields. Coupons, rates, yields and other informations are displayed.] Torsten Asmus For years, the macro consensus has held that the post-COVID world is one of structurally higher interest r…
[I Bonds, Treasury Bond] Douglas Rissing A sharp rise in global bond yields is beginning to challenge the stock market rally that has been fueled by artificial intelligence enthusiasm and years of easy monetary policy, according to a repor…
[Federal Reserve Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Testifies During Senate Confirmation Hearing] Following the closest Senate vote [https://seekingalpha.com/news/4592410-kevin-warsh-confirmed-next-fed-chair-by-senate] since the confirmation requir…
Here’s a look at the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since the end of March 2009. That was the end of the global financial crisis. I mean hey, what’s not to like about this chart? More News from Barchart HOOD Stock Bullish Diagonal Trade Targets a…
[The Bank of England in London] kelvinjay The rise in global borrowing costs is continuing as high oil prices fuel bets that central banks will act to curb a renewed bout of inflation. The UK government’s long-term borrowing costs have hit…
[Yield Curve theme with Manhattan New York City] Melpomenem Markets are beginning to price in a “Trump risk premium” as policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions rise, according to economist Robin Brooks. Brooks, former chief FX strateg…
[Treasury bonds is shown on the conceptual business photo] Andrii Dodonov/iStock via Getty Images A series of macro and policy developments is shifting sentiment in the $31 trillion U.S. Treasury market back toward higher yields, Bloomberg…
[Coffee pour] Jonathan Knowles/DigitalVision via Getty Images BofA Securities is looking for an unwind in frothy assets, but expects key levels to hold. Those levels are: * State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK [https://seeki…
[National Debt] Douglas Rissing Chinese regulators have urged major financial institutions to curb their exposure to U.S. Treasuries, citing concerns over concentration risk and market volatility, _Bloomberg_ reported, citing people famili…
[Panorama of the illuminated U.S. Capitol Building] elxeneize/iStock via Getty Images Mike Johnson is heading into a difficult House vote this week to reopen the government, after Democrats signaled they will not help Republicans advance a…
[FED The Federal Reserve System, the central banking system of the United States of America.] manassanant pamai The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its January 28 meeting, as policymakers signal a mor…
[Fortune Global Forum Riyadh 2025] Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, said there has been an ongoing general diversification away from U.S. assets, particularly by global central banks. Speaking to _Bloomberg Television’s _Franc…
[President Trump Participates In A Roundtable On Farm Aid At The White House] U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Donald Trump could name his choice for the next Federal Reserve chair as early as next week, as speculation intensifie…
[3D Map of European Union post-Brexit (without UK) with EU blue flag texture and gold stars] Loic Seigland/iStock via Getty Images As the rhetoric between the U.S. and Europe over Greenland heats up, Deutsche Bank says that while the Unite…
[Yield Curve theme with Manhattan New York City] Melpomenem/iStock via Getty Images Bond investors are sticking with a popular wager that U.S. interest rates will fall further in 2026, keeping pressure on short-term Treasury yields while l…
[Japanese economy] cokada/iStock via Getty Images A sharp jump in Japanese government bond yields to the highest levels since 2008 is rippling through global markets Monday, stoking carry-trade concerns and weighing on risk assets. JGBs so…
[Countdown to 2026. Loading year from 2025 to 2026. New year start concept.] SmileStudioAP Societe Generale’s Global Asset Allocation team outlined seven critical investment calls for the year 2026. 1. DOWNWARD ASYMMETRY ON THE FED OUTLOOK…